Fire SeiryuuTier 2
at Regionals - Cardpoint
decks
1
(4.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
0-4-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
29.7%
avg ELO -13.0 per match
expected value
37.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
39.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1153
· median 1153
· range 1153–1153
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1037
Q1 1170
Q3 1322
1584
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 17.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.1% | -15.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 17.4% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.8% | -12.7 |
| Fire Exia | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.4% | -10.6 |
| Wind Allies | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Hybrid | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Vanitas | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Seiryuu decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
